A stock currently sells for $40. in the next month, there is a 60% chance that the stock price will double` P(X=$80) = 60%, and a 40% chance that the stock will drop` P(X=$20) = 40%. Find the expected price?
Question
Answer:
To find the expected price of the stock, you can use the formula for expected value (also known as the mean):
Expected Value (E[X]) = Ξ£ [x * P(x)]
Where:
- E[X] is the expected value (in this case, the expected price of the stock).
- x is the possible outcomes.
- P(x) is the probability of each outcome.
In this scenario, there are two possible outcomes: the stock price doubling to $80 (with a probability of 60%) and the stock price dropping to $20 (with a probability of 40%).
So, you can calculate the expected price as follows:
E[X] = ($80 * 0.60) + ($20 * 0.40)
E[X] = $48 + $8
E[X] = $56
So, the expected price of the stock is $56.
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