Suppose you work at a call center that receives customer service calls. On average, your team receives 4 calls per hour. What is the probability of receiving exactly 5 calls during the next hour?
Question
Answer:
o calculate the probability of receiving exactly 5 calls during the next hour when your team receives an average of 4 calls per hour, you can use the Poisson distribution. The Poisson distribution is often used to model the number of events (in this case, customer service calls) occurring in a fixed interval of time when the events are rare and random.
The probability mass function (PMF) of the Poisson distribution is given by:
P(X = k) = (e^(-Ξ») * Ξ»^k) / k!
Where:
P(X = k) is the probability of receiving k calls.
e is the base of the natural logarithm (approximately 2.71828).
Ξ» (lambda) is the average rate of events per interval (in this case, 4 calls per hour).
k is the number of events you want to calculate the probability for (in this case, 5 calls).
Let's calculate it:
P(X = 5) = (e^(-4) * 4^5) / 5!
P(X = 5) = (2.71828^(-4) * 4^5) / (5 * 4 * 3 * 2 * 1)
P(X = 5) β (0.01832 * 1024) / 120
P(X = 5) β 18.73248 / 120
P(X = 5) β 0.1562
So, the probability of receiving exactly 5 calls during the next hour is approximately 0.1562, or about 15.62%.
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11 months ago
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